TSLA
avoiding
Conviction over time
Sentiment weighted by conviction, oldest to newest — above the line is bullish
Reasoning trail
Every post mentioning TSLA, newest first — the thesis as it was built and revised
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23 Jul 26
Points out TSLA is up only 50% over 5 years, lagging both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, framing it as underperformance relative to the broader market.
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28 Apr 26
Reports Tesla's management score from his framework as 40/100.
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11 Apr 26
Friendly reply to a follower listing his own AI-related holdings ($TSLA, $MRVL, $NBIS, $MU), calling them all great companies; no ownership claim by the author himself.
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06 Apr 26
Explains he was all-in on Tesla in 2022 but no longer has a thesis for it at current valuation.
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17 Feb 26
Closes an 8-part energy-sector thread with a 'New Energy Hierarchy' framework: buy grid reliability names ($VST, $CEG, $CCJ), buy storage/fix plays ($FLNC, $TSLA), buy gas logistics ($LNG), and avoid green hydrogen entirely as an uninvestable cash incinerator.
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17 Feb 26
Energy storage is the 'picks and shovels' trade on grid instability from renewables. Fluence is the pure-play leader with a sticky, funded backlog and improving software margins; Tesla Energy is a sleeping giant growing faster than Automotive; Eos and ESS are high-risk bets on non-lithium chemistry.
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13 Feb 26
Curated AI-boom sector watchlist across cybersecurity, datacenters, energy grid, nuclear, solar, space, semiconductors, software/AI platforms, and humanoid robotics; marks which companies he personally owns.
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06 Feb 26
Compares the current pullback across a basket of names to the April 2025 correction, noting the current drawdowns are less severe/more concentrated than April for most names.
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28 Jan 26
Observes Tesla appears to be shifting focus away from its core EV business toward other growth areas.
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28 Jan 26
Bullish on Tesla's Q4 double beat and 3% pop: pivoting from carmaker to physical AI company, improving auto margins, record Energy division profit, and a shift to an FSD subscription model.
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28 Jan 26
Confirms he previously held Tesla and sold the position for a good profit, echoing the parent's account of an ~80% gain.
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28 Jan 26
Says he currently has no Tesla position, though he was 'all-in' on it back in 2020.
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28 Jan 26
Flags a heavy earnings slate reporting after the close tonight across Microsoft, Tesla, Meta, Lam Research, ServiceNow, Fair Isaac, and IBM.
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28 Jan 26
Preview of Tesla's Q4 earnings, flagging automotive gross margins, Cybercab production timeline, Energy storage growth vs auto, FSD take-rates, and AI infrastructure capex as the key things to watch.