POET

holds · 6.0% allocation

Cost basis5.8

Disclosed in28

Posts in trail68

Trades59

Conviction over time

Sentiment weighted by conviction, oldest to newest — above the line is bullish

Price targets

How each level moved over time. The last value is his current one.

entry target

6.012 Apr → 5.514 Apr

fair value

USD30.024 Apr

Trades

What he actually did, newest first

Reasoning trail

Every post mentioning POET, newest first — the thesis as it was built and revised

16 Jul 26

Defends his long-term thesis despite recent declines, listing cost bases across several holdings, and admits past mistakes (sold CRWD and SIVE, bought POET).

bullish high post →
02 Jun 26

Suggests that using AI agents to scan X for short reports and going long can beat the market, citing SIVE and POET as recent examples.

bullish low post →
26 May 26

Clarifies he made two buying calls on $OUST and one on $POET, calculating roughly €1K notional value per call.

bullish low post →
26 May 26

Recaps a public call track record over ~2.5 months on a hypothetical $1K-per-call basis: buys in SK Hynix, OUST, MRVL, POET (twice), HIMS, Filtronic, WOLF, FLNC, and a sale of POET at 8; reports total invested 10K growing to 18.77K, an 87.70% return.

bullish high post →
12 May 26

Explains he exited a position (referred to as Poet by the parent) because the thesis broke, and that the replacement stocks he bought instead are performing well; says he doesn't dwell on past decisions.

bearish medium post →
08 May 26

Confirms he is still holding FTC.L (Filtronic) but has exited POET.

mixed medium post →
08 May 26

Recaps a hypothetical $1K-per-decision portfolio of his last 2 months of calls, showing a 53.85% total return across SK Hynix, OUST, MRVL, POET (bought twice, sold), HIMS, Filtronic, WOLF, and FLNC.

bullish high post →
01 May 26

Speculative reply suggesting LWLG's rally may be capital rotating out of POET rather than fresh conviction.

neutral low post →
01 May 26

Monthly portfolio update: best month ever at +48.49% return. Raised cash by selling POET, HOOD and CROWD; only buy was FTC (Filtronic). Wants to add to FTC (currently 4.5% allocation) but is waiting for a better entry. 45% of holdings report earnings next week, especially TMDX and FLNC, his worst performers now under 3% allocation each — earnings will decide whether he trims or adds. Plans to move toward a more concentrated ~12-stock portfolio and expects more trading this month.

bullish high post →
30 Apr 26

Shares and praises another account's post about POET, noting increased attention from Korean accounts on his feed.

bullish low post →
28 Apr 26

Comments on the parent author's decision to wait a day before closing their POET position, noting it paid off with an extra 6.5% gain.

neutral low post →
28 Apr 26

States he's soured on POET, saying it's no longer for him after a major revenue miss that he views as showing complete management incompetence; he needs to trust management to build his investment case.

bearish high post →
28 Apr 26

Explains why Filtronic's post-selloff weakness (driven by ~75% revenue concentration in SpaceX) is different from POET's situation: SpaceX calls Filtronic a reliable strategic partner, Filtronic is cash-flow and EBITDA positive with SpaceX funding its R&D, and management scores 96/100 on his self-built framework versus 19/100 for POET. Says he's ready to make Filtronic his second-highest holding if the price is pushed below 200.

bullish high post →
28 Apr 26

Introduces his new 5-category, 100-point management-integrity framework, explaining that standard institutional frameworks (McKinsey, Morgan Stanley, BCG, Morningstar) unfairly penalize high-growth pre-profit companies by focusing on ROI/FCF/dividends. Shares example scores and offers to run the framework for followers who lack a paid LLM subscription.

neutral medium post →
27 Apr 26

Says he's in the same position as the parent poster (who laid out a bearish thesis on POET following Marvell's contract termination) and confirms he decided to sell, reasoning that with near-zero trust in management there was no point waiting for their response, especially since management sat on the news for four days before disclosing it.

bearish high post →
27 Apr 26

Explains, in response to a question, that whether Marvell owes compensation to the other company depends on the NDA's clauses, and that if Marvell violated it, Marvell could actually be the one exposed to a claim rather than the reverse.

neutral low post →
27 Apr 26

Criticizes POET management for reacting more emotionally to the short report than retail investors did, calling it disappointing.

bearish low post →
27 Apr 26

Sold entire POET position at $8 (avg cost $5.8, +38%) after Marvell abruptly cancelled the multi-year supply agreement citing an NDA breach; believes Marvell has an in-house alternative via its Polariton acquisition, so the short-term catalyst (Celestial AI order confirmation) is gone. States the short report didn't break his thesis, but management's handling did.

bearish high post →
27 Apr 26

Believes Marvell's cancellation is less about dissatisfaction and more about having an in-house alternative, pointing to its Polariton acquisition which does similar work to POET's tech.

bearish medium post →
27 Apr 26

Expects Marvell will redesign its hardware to no longer need POET's technology.

bearish medium post →
27 Apr 26

Explains that Celestial AI's hardware is designed around POET's patented optical interposer, so Marvell's customers will likely need to redesign part of their hardware.

bearish medium post →
27 Apr 26

Questions whether the broad sell-off is really being driven by POET's news, since non-photonics stocks are down too.

neutral low post →
27 Apr 26

Clarifies that POET's specific delivery-date disclosure was new, confidential information, not already public.

neutral low post →
27 Apr 26

POET drops almost 50% after Marvell cancels all Celestial AI orders following an NDA breach; author is unsettled but not selling his shares, taking some comfort that the cancellation isn't about the technology itself.

mixed medium post →
27 Apr 26

Reacts with surprise to Marvell cancelling its order with POET.

neutral low post →
27 Apr 26

Says POET is still mainly pre-revenue and a bet on technology execution; more room to run if they execute, but the asymmetry shrinks the higher it goes.

mixed medium post →
26 Apr 26

Explains not all details about the Marvell/POET situation were public, since POET's specific delivery-date disclosure was new and confidential.

neutral low post →
26 Apr 26

Argues short reports have lost their power to scare investors now that AI and X make research accessible; cites POET's 125% rally since its short report as proof retail investors are doing real due diligence.

bullish medium post →
24 Apr 26

Gives a long-term minimum price target of $30 for POET if its R&D pans out, while noting significant remaining uncertainty.

bullish low post →
24 Apr 26

Says he called the bottom on $POET and is now up 200% since buying.

bullish high post →
22 Apr 26

Added to POET at $4.9, bringing his average cost to $5.8, making it one of his fastest doublers; cites the CFO confirming purchase orders far in excess of $5 million as reason to believe it's just the beginning.

bullish high post →
21 Apr 26

Highlights three recent buys that have surged in the last three weeks — HIMS +62.5%, OUST +73.8%, POET +114% — and says it's only the beginning.

bullish high post →
20 Apr 26

POET up 22% after announcing a US redomicile plan that counters Wolfpack Research's short thesis on PFIC tax consequences; congratulates those who held or bought the dip.

bullish medium post →
16 Apr 26

Reports strong gains on HIMS, OUST, and POET bought two weeks earlier.

bullish medium post →
14 Apr 26

Says he'll load more POET if it drops below $5.50.

bullish medium post →
14 Apr 26

POET drops 7.5% after a Wolfpack Research short report; he isn't worried, expects Q3 earnings in 5 months to be the real catalyst, and notes institutions typically close most short positions well before then.

bullish medium post →
12 Apr 26

Lays out a broad catalyst calendar across his sector watchlist spanning Q2 2026 through Q3 2027, covering scaling, energization, acquisition closes, product shipments, launches, and constellation milestones for a wide range of AI infrastructure, space, and defense names.

bullish medium post →
12 Apr 26

Says he keeps buying POET below $6, same as the person he's replying to.

bullish medium post →
11 Apr 26

Tells a follower he thinks $POET's Q3 earnings would be the confirmation point to buy.

bullish medium post →
11 Apr 26

Bullish on both $POET and $OUST heading into Q3 2026, which he calls big for both. $POET is a riskier pre-revenue photonics play with first revenue expected Q3 2026 and unlimited upside but high execution risk. $OUST is a safer LiDAR sensor play for autonomous vehicles/robots that benefits from the Chinese-supplier ban under the Safe Act (June 2026); expects first positive signs in Q3 2026 and plans to keep buying dips of both. Charts show POET +42.8% and OUST +24.49% over the past ~2 weeks.

bullish high post →
10 Apr 26

Confirms in reply to a comment about rotating MRVL into POET that he also owns POET.

bullish low post →
05 Apr 26

Monthly portfolio update: up 6.9% in March, led by PL, PLTR, RKLB and AMPX; initiated four new positions (OUST, POET, MRVL, SK Hynix), added to HIMS; TMDX, HOOD, FLNC and IREN declined; plans to cut cash from 20% to 10% and consolidate from 16 to 11 holdings.

bullish high post →
04 Apr 26

Pushes back that POET's CEO having a PhD doesn't count toward his founder-led exception rule, since POET's CEO is not the founder.

neutral medium post →
02 Apr 26

Confirms POET was included in a list simply because it's one of his investments, unrelated to any space theme.

neutral low post →
02 Apr 26

Bullish on space stocks broadly, highlighting PL's strong outperformance today as part of a sector re-rating.

bullish medium post →
01 Apr 26

Wryly hopeful about POET's long troubled history finally paying off this time.

bullish low post →
01 Apr 26

Long, high-conviction, pre-revenue thesis on POET: unspectacular earnings but a strong cash cushion versus liabilities limits downside, while its optical interposer targets a fast-growing photonics TAM; sees limited downside and large upside despite management's low transparency.

bullish high post →
31 Mar 26

Explains POET isn't expected to show first real revenue until late 2026, offered as a tentative reason for why certain deals/calls aren't happening yet.

neutral low post →
31 Mar 26

Notes a downside of POET is the lack of a conference call, meaning investors just have to read whatever disclosure is published.

mixed low post →
31 Mar 26

Sees POET pumping ahead of earnings as a good sign, and views the NVDA-MRVL collaboration as validating POET's business case.

bullish medium post →
31 Mar 26

Made three buys the prior day — HIMS at $18.70, OUST at $16.70, and POET at $4.90 — and reiterates HIMS looks very undervalued right now.

bullish high post →
31 Mar 26

Previews POET's earnings tonight: expects no meaningful revenue yet, ~$350M cash and no debt for multi-year runway, and will focus on commentary about partnerships (Foxconn Interconnect, Luxshare, Semtech, Mitsubishi Electric) as evidence the wafer-scale passive alignment thesis is becoming commercially real in a $28.75B silicon photonics market.

bullish medium post →
30 Mar 26

Added to his POET position today at $4.90.

bullish medium post →
20 Mar 26

Posts YTD performance of pre-revenue stocks (OKLO, NNE, ASTS, JOBY, ACHR, QS, LUNR, POET, NUVL), concluding investors are de-risking from speculative names.

bearish low post →
19 Mar 26

Asks whether AAOI still has upside after its run, and discloses he has recently invested in POET.

neutral low post →
16 Mar 26

Notes POET up 6% on a strategic partnership with LITEON to co-develop next-gen optical communication modules using POET's Optical Interposer tech, with prototypes by late 2026 and high-volume production targeted for 2027.

bullish medium post →
12 Mar 26

Asks followers for input on his $HOOD position (up 122% over a year, ~5% of portfolio), questioning if the company has lost its edge. Attached portfolio screenshot reveals his broader top holdings and allocation weights.

mixed medium post →
11 Mar 26

Reveals he bought POET, MRVL, OUST, and SK Hynix.

bullish medium post →
11 Mar 26

Discusses photonics research; sees POET's cash pile as limiting downside with explosive upside, and views MRVL's recent acquisitions as a safe way to get exposure.

bullish medium post →
11 Mar 26

Confirms he bought POET because its $335M cash position limits downside while leaving explosive upside if things go well.

bullish high post →
11 Mar 26

Expects some manufacturing concerns for POET early on since it's still pre-revenue.

neutral low post →
11 Mar 26

Announces four new buys this week: OUST as an asymmetric physical-AI/LiDAR bet, SK Hynix for HBM memory dominance, POET for optical interposer technology, and MRVL for the compute-to-connectivity/optical DSP shift.

bullish high post →
11 Mar 26

Gives a balanced take on POET's technology: the physics/prototypes are validated, but commercial execution at scale is not proven yet; sees limited downside given the $1B valuation and recent $225m raise, but says the company still has a lot to prove with zero revenue.

mixed medium post →
11 Mar 26

Opened a new position in POET at $6.52, laying out a long bull thesis on POET's wafer-scale photonics manufacturing, its de-risked balance sheet (~$350m cash, minimal debt), commercial validation (production orders, tier-one partners) and a reverse-DCF valuation case for major multi-year upside.

bullish high post →
07 Mar 26

Names POET as his favorite stock currently trading under $10.

bullish low post →
02 Mar 26

Quantum Computing Inc is pivoting from pure research to physical manufacturing; revenue is still tiny (just under $200k) but tripled YoY, and a $750M raise gives a long runway. New chip factory opened, a second planned, Luminar Semiconductor acquired to bring supply chains in-house, and a new AI partnership with $POET shows commercial promise. Stock slipped 1.5% after earnings despite these moves.

mixed medium post →
27 Feb 26

Lists companies he plans to research over the weekend: IBRX, AAOI, UAMY, LITE, POET, TE, AMPX.

neutral low post →
13 Feb 26

Agrees that photonics names (LITE, COHR, AAOI, ALMU, POET) should have been included in his list.

neutral low post →