PLUG
avoiding
Conviction over time
Sentiment weighted by conviction, oldest to newest — above the line is bullish
Reasoning trail
Every post mentioning PLUG, newest first — the thesis as it was built and revised
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07 Apr 26
Green Hydrogen wave stable this quarter despite Cummins exiting its loss-making hydrogen division; TKA and PLUG lead but margin struggles persist, so he expects a revenue dip and is staying away from the wave.
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07 Apr 26
Index post for his Q4 energy-transition thread, listing the 7 waves he tracks (Wind, Green Hydrogen, Solar, Energy Storage, Nuclear, LNG, Mixed companies) and their constituent companies.
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03 Apr 26
Surveys a rough Q1 2026 across nuclear/grid/solar/hydrogen names; holds FLNC (down 27%, his smallest position at 3% of portfolio) and says management trust in the sector is gone, with no turnaround expected before next earnings, though he still sees the energy grid thesis as critical.
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03 Mar 26
PLUG up 25% after posting a positive gross profit margin for the first time, but flags the risk profile remains massive given cooled hydrogen hype and intense competition from deep-pocketed rivals.
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02 Mar 26
Plug Power stock jumped 10% as Q4 earnings showed the company turning a corner: a positive gross margin in the core material handling business, a big drop in cash burn, over $275M raised via asset sales funding operations through 2026, and a new CEO (Jose Luis Crespo) appointed to lead the pivot toward financial discipline.
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01 Mar 26
Lists the earnings he'll be watching next week across defense, drone, quantum, crypto and other names, asking followers which companies he's missing. Attached image confirms an earnings calendar for the week of March 02, 2026 including Berkshire, Credo, Riot, BigBear.ai, MongoDB, Plug, QCi, ASTS, Achr, Target, Best Buy, Sea, CrowdStrike, GitLab, Abercrombie, Dycom, Broadcom, Rigetti, Wix, Veeva, Okta, Ooma, Bull, Ciena, Amprius, Marvell, JD.com, IoT names, Costco, and others.
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17 Feb 26
Calls green hydrogen an uninvestable, popped bubble: P/S crashed to 0.49x and market cap evaporated; $PLUG and $NEL are burning cash and diluting shareholders just to survive, priced for bankruptcy or restructuring absent a bailout or an electrolysis efficiency breakthrough.
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12 Feb 26
Frames 2026 as an industrial 'Power Trade' driven by AI demand: bullish on nuclear (CEG repriced as tech, OKLO/SMR speculative on SMRs) and utility-scale solar (FSLR, ENPH), sees an industrial reset in wind (GEV raising guidance, VWS prioritizing value), and is bearish on hydrogen (PLUG) as the market now demands cash flow over chemistry.