OUST
holds · 12.1% allocation
Conviction over time
Sentiment weighted by conviction, oldest to newest — above the line is bullish
Price targets
How each level moved over time. The last value is his current one.
Trades
What he actually did, newest first
-
16 Jul 26
sold, considers it a past mistake
-
16 Jul 26
sold, considers it a past mistake
-
16 Jul 26
bought, considers it a past mistake
-
07 Jul 26
WOLF reached his buying target so he added a bit more
-
01 Jul 26
no trades executed this month; allocation shifts are purely from price action
-
27 Jun 26
no need to add at current prices
-
27 Jun 26
no need to add; was at similar levels two months ago
-
25 Jun 26
staying patient with cash, not adding to any positions while sentiment is negative
-
09 Jun 26
still holding cash during the sell-off, not buying yet
-
31 May 26
Bought some Wolfspeed in the beginning of the month.
-
31 May 26
Bought some Fluence in the beginning of the month.
-
31 May 26
Sold his TMDX shares.
-
31 May 26
Sold ASML shares (+13% in 3 months) to fund a SK Hynix purchase.
-
31 May 26
Bought SK Hynix using proceeds from selling ASML; wishes he had bought more three months ago (+114% since).
-
26 May 26
09/03 call
-
26 May 26
10/03 call
-
26 May 26
11/03 call
-
26 May 26
11/03 call
-
26 May 26
31/03 call
-
26 May 26
31/03 call
-
26 May 26
31/03 call
-
26 May 26
20/04 call
-
26 May 26
27/04, closed the position
-
26 May 26
05/05 call
-
26 May 26
07/05 call
-
08 May 26
Buy at 487 on 09/03
-
08 May 26
Buy at 20 on 10/03
-
08 May 26
Buy at 88.66 on 11/03
-
08 May 26
Buy at 6.52 on 11/03
-
08 May 26
Buy at 4.9 on 31/03
-
08 May 26
Buy at 16.7 on 31/03
-
08 May 26
Buy at 18.7 on 31/03
-
08 May 26
Buy at 230 on 20/04
-
08 May 26
Sold at 8 on 27/04
-
08 May 26
Buy at 36 on 05/05
-
08 May 26
Buy at 16.67 on 07/05
-
06 May 26
Down 20% premarket and now only 1.7% of portfolio, so probably going to sell and move on.
-
01 May 26
sold this month to raise cash
-
01 May 26
sold this month to raise cash
-
01 May 26
sold this month to raise cash
-
01 May 26
only buy made this month
-
01 May 26
wants to add more to bring FTC up from 4.5% allocation, waiting for a better moment to buy
-
13 Apr 26
buying below $20
-
11 Apr 26
Plans to keep buying the dips
-
11 Apr 26
Plans to keep buying the dips
-
09 Apr 26
initial position opened a couple of weeks ago
-
09 Apr 26
added to the position during the recent pullback
-
05 Apr 26
initiated new position
-
05 Apr 26
initiated new position
-
05 Apr 26
initiated new position, up 15% since entry
-
05 Apr 26
initiated new position in SK Hynix
-
05 Apr 26
bought extra shares, continuing to DCA
-
05 Apr 26
plans to add 1 new position as part of concentrating the portfolio
-
05 Apr 26
plans to sell 5 to 6 positions to bring total holdings from 16 down to 11
-
01 Apr 26
recently bought some extra OUST
-
31 Mar 26
one of 3 buys made yesterday
-
31 Mar 26
one of 3 buys made yesterday
-
31 Mar 26
one of 3 buys made yesterday
-
30 Mar 26
bought OUST today
-
30 Mar 26
not buying the Bitcoin-mining-to-AI/HPC pivot dip yet
-
30 Mar 26
not buying the Bitcoin-mining-to-AI/HPC pivot dip yet
-
30 Mar 26
not buying the Bitcoin-mining-to-AI/HPC pivot dip yet
-
30 Mar 26
not buying the Bitcoin-mining-to-AI/HPC pivot dip yet
-
30 Mar 26
bought OUST today
-
30 Mar 26
added to OUST position today
-
29 Mar 26
Tentative, undecided candidate for adding to ('don't know yet, probably')
-
29 Mar 26
Tentative, undecided candidate for adding to ('don't know yet, probably')
-
12 Mar 26
possibly adding to existing OUST position
-
11 Mar 26
No further detail given.
-
11 Mar 26
No further detail given.
-
11 Mar 26
No further detail given.
-
11 Mar 26
No further detail given.
-
11 Mar 26
Rare asymmetric bet in physical AI; digital lidar paired with high-margin perception software.
-
11 Mar 26
Foundational AI infrastructure play with 62% HBM market share, trading at distressed 5.2x forward P/E.
-
11 Mar 26
Wafer-scale optical interposers replace bottlenecked copper cables; $350M liquidity buffer de-risks the setup.
-
11 Mar 26
Capitalizing on the compute-to-connectivity shift; dominates optical DSP and secures sticky AI silicon revenue.
-
10 Mar 26
opened position the day after strong earnings
Reasoning trail
Every post mentioning OUST, newest first — the thesis as it was built and revised
-
06 Aug 26
Calls Ouster's results great, notes the revenue beat is significant at this stage, but says the real story starts in Q3 when he wants to see them take market cap share from Chinese lidar manufacturers.
-
01 Aug 26
Notes next week will be busy for his portfolio as PLTR, OUST, FLNC, and AMPX all report earnings, which he'll cover extensively.
-
27 Jul 26
Notes many of his target companies are around 10% from his buying targets, with $PLTR, $OUST, $FLNC and $AMPX reporting earnings next week; plans to wait for the calls before deciding.
-
24 Jul 26
Doesn't think $OUST is likely to fall further to reach a questioner's cited target, noting it held up strongly during the recent selloff.
-
21 Jul 26
Calls OUST a great LiDAR pick in his opinion, in reply to someone considering buying it.
-
16 Jul 26
Defends his long-term thesis despite recent declines, listing cost bases across several holdings, and admits past mistakes (sold CRWD and SIVE, bought POET).
-
15 Jul 26
Names his top 5 preferred stocks to buy if all his buy targets are hit and the market recovers: PL, OUST, MRVL, FLNC, HIMS.
-
07 Jul 26
After being offline during a move, says he's calm in this market; WOLF hit his buying target so he added a bit more at $34.3, and restates his full watchlist of buy/add targets across many tickers.
-
02 Jul 26
Step 2/4 of his research method: adds ~9 standard financial charts (overview, revenue, margins/operating profit, FCF, ROIC/ROE, P/E, forward estimates, SBC, R&D-to-revenue) to feed his Gemini deep-dive report, illustrated using Ouster (OUST) charts as the example.
-
01 Jul 26
Monthly portfolio update: MTD -3.7%, YTD +94.1%, no trades this month, allocation shifts purely from price action across 14 positions including Planet Labs, Ouster, Rocket Lab, Marvell, SK Hynix, ASM International, Palantir, Fluence, Hims, Google, Iren, Wolfspeed, Amprius and Filtronic.
-
30 Jun 26
Responds to a follower who exited OUST that he is continuing to hold and ride the current momentum.
-
30 Jun 26
OUST is now a 3-bagger for him, moving faster than expected; his prior bullish target was $73 three months ago and he wants to reassess it after next earnings.
-
28 Jun 26
Confirms he owns OUST when asked for his opinion on several tickers.
-
28 Jun 26
Confirms he already owns Ouster.
-
27 Jun 26
Says he won't add to Google or Ouster at current prices, noting Ouster was at similar levels just two months ago.
-
27 Jun 26
Publishes his personal add-target levels across his portfolio, based on allocation sizing and how undervalued each stock is, and says he'll try to stay patient.
-
25 Jun 26
Explains he's staying patient and not adding despite negative market sentiment, doesn't try to call the bottom, and flags the week of July 20 (Hyperscaler earnings) as the key catalyst that could turn sentiment; remains happy with his current positions.
-
23 Jun 26
Author discloses that of the companies shown in a screenshot he was asked about, he personally owns WOLF, OUST, SK Hynix, and GOOGL, noting most of what he owns fits an AI supply chain theme.
-
09 Jun 26
Notes another sell-off day, says he's still holding cash, and that some stocks are getting back into buying territory — but he prefers to buy after the market turns rather than try to call the exact bottom.
-
09 Jun 26
Comments that OUST's follower count is actually strong relative to its market cap, comparing it to Marvell's smaller follower base.
-
06 Jun 26
Announces a $PL deep dive will be released the next day, in response to a question about PL, AEVA and OUST.
-
06 Jun 26
Lists PL, WOLF, and OUST as names he is watching for potential entries during the current dip.
-
31 May 26
Monthly portfolio update: MTD +40.4%, YTD +97.8%. Bought WOLF and FLNC early in the month, sold TMDX, and sold ASML to fund a SK Hynix purchase (wishes he'd bought more three months ago). Cash allocation ~11.6% and building slightly via savings, not sales. Reviews all 14 core holdings with performance, allocation and outlook: PL (target $60 by year end, earnings 4/6), RKLB (surged on strong earnings), OUST (long-term hold, no longer buy territory), PLTR (favorite AI software play, #1 holding), SK Hynix (regrets not buying more), AMPX (bullish long-term on batteries/drones), IREN (highest-cost holding, datacenter thesis), MRVL (photonics center, healthy balance sheet), ASM.AS (longest-held, safe-haven, €1,000 target where he may trim), Filtronic (SpaceX GaN amp supplier), WOLF (bullish long-term, BoA target >$80), FLNC (Hyperscaler contracts, next quarters crucial), GOOGL (could become most valuable company), HIMS (small 3.7% allocation, may add).
-
26 May 26
Clarifies he made two buying calls on $OUST and one on $POET, calculating roughly €1K notional value per call.
-
26 May 26
Recaps a public call track record over ~2.5 months on a hypothetical $1K-per-call basis: buys in SK Hynix, OUST, MRVL, POET (twice), HIMS, Filtronic, WOLF, FLNC, and a sale of POET at 8; reports total invested 10K growing to 18.77K, an 87.70% return.
-
19 May 26
Notes OUST volatility has spiked now that retail and day traders have piled in on social media, but says this doesn't worry long-term investors since the long-term trend is intact. Says he expected similar retail hype for PL but it has stayed steady, and thinks retail is chasing 'the next Planet Labs' without realizing PL itself is the durable long-term story.
-
15 May 26
Argues against the narrative that concentration is required to beat the market, citing his own track record of holding 12-17 stocks (avg 15) while beating the S&P 500 every year since 2023, with a portfolio breakdown showing Planet Labs, Rocket Lab, Palantir, Ouster and others as top holdings.
-
10 May 26
Full monthly portfolio update: 15% cash plus 14 named positions with allocation percentages and average cost basis / gain per position, from $PL as largest (16%) down to $HIMS smallest (4.7%, currently at a loss).
-
08 May 26
Recaps a hypothetical $1K-per-decision portfolio of his last 2 months of calls, showing a 53.85% total return across SK Hynix, OUST, MRVL, POET (bought twice, sold), HIMS, Filtronic, WOLF, and FLNC.
-
06 May 26
Author reports a rough premarket earnings day across his portfolio: TMDX -20%, WOLF -12%, OUST -6%. Not worried about WOLF/OUST but plans to sell TMDX since it's now a tiny 1.7% position.
-
05 May 26
Author reiterates his OUST thesis: the SAFE LIDAR Act only starts in June, so real results won't show until Q3 as the company fights cheap Chinese competitors; he expects the stock to rise once results improve.
-
01 May 26
Publishes management-quality scores for his full current holding list under his rating framework: GOOGL 97, FTC 96, SK Hynix 93, ASM.AS 92, OUST 90, PL 89, MRVL 88, PLTR 87, TMDX 87, HIMS 85, RKLB 79, AMPX 75, FLNC 73, IREN 35 — generally praising execution and capital discipline, with dilution and guidance misses as the main detractors, and IREN scored lowest for promotional narrative pivots and heavy dilution.
-
01 May 26
Monthly portfolio update: best month ever at +48.49% return. Raised cash by selling POET, HOOD and CROWD; only buy was FTC (Filtronic). Wants to add to FTC (currently 4.5% allocation) but is waiting for a better entry. 45% of holdings report earnings next week, especially TMDX and FLNC, his worst performers now under 3% allocation each — earnings will decide whether he trims or adds. Plans to move toward a more concentrated ~12-stock portfolio and expects more trading this month.
-
28 Apr 26
Agrees Ouster has good management and asks for feedback on his framework's layout, in reply to someone who scored Ouster 79/100.
-
21 Apr 26
Highlights three recent buys that have surged in the last three weeks — HIMS +62.5%, OUST +73.8%, POET +114% — and says it's only the beginning.
-
19 Apr 26
Details his OUST position: bought at $20, added around $16, average cost ~$18. Warns the stock needs time and depends on the SAFE LiDAR Act to displace cheaper Chinese LiDAR suppliers; sees it eventually moving to $40 over time as a slow, steady compounder.
-
16 Apr 26
Gives a $40 price target for OUST with Q3 earnings as the key catalyst.
-
16 Apr 26
Reports strong gains on HIMS, OUST, and POET bought two weeks earlier.
-
13 Apr 26
Buying OUST below $20 ahead of a big Q3 driven by the SAFE LiDAR Act; calls it a safer investment with a strong founder-led company and sector tailwinds.
-
12 Apr 26
Lays out a broad catalyst calendar across his sector watchlist spanning Q2 2026 through Q3 2027, covering scaling, energization, acquisition closes, product shipments, launches, and constellation milestones for a wide range of AI infrastructure, space, and defense names.
-
11 Apr 26
Compares LiDAR players in reply to a question: says $AEVA has technically better sensors than $OUST but they're often overkill/too expensive; notes $AEVA doesn't benefit as much from the exit of Chinese manufacturers since it lacks OUST's basic-sensor overlap; says he'll look into $INVZ.
-
11 Apr 26
Bullish on both $POET and $OUST heading into Q3 2026, which he calls big for both. $POET is a riskier pre-revenue photonics play with first revenue expected Q3 2026 and unlimited upside but high execution risk. $OUST is a safer LiDAR sensor play for autonomous vehicles/robots that benefits from the Chinese-supplier ban under the Safe Act (June 2026); expects first positive signs in Q3 2026 and plans to keep buying dips of both. Charts show POET +42.8% and OUST +24.49% over the past ~2 weeks.
-
09 Apr 26
Responding to another user's long-term OUST thesis, says he pulled the trigger on OUST a couple of weeks ago and added more during the recent pullback.
-
05 Apr 26
Monthly portfolio update: up 6.9% in March, led by PL, PLTR, RKLB and AMPX; initiated four new positions (OUST, POET, MRVL, SK Hynix), added to HIMS; TMDX, HOOD, FLNC and IREN declined; plans to cut cash from 20% to 10% and consolidate from 16 to 11 holdings.
-
02 Apr 26
Agrees HIMS and OUST have massive upside but says the rise is conditional on the current war ending.
-
01 Apr 26
Bullish on Ouster ahead of the SAFE LiDAR Act, expecting a US market monopoly from June; sees upside to $73 versus a $40 neutral target, and recently added to the position.
-
31 Mar 26
Doesn't rely on chart patterns; reiterates OUST's major catalyst — a US monopoly on Lidar once Chinese producers are barred starting June 2026.
-
31 Mar 26
Made three buys the prior day — HIMS at $18.70, OUST at $16.70, and POET at $4.90 — and reiterates HIMS looks very undervalued right now.
-
30 Mar 26
Confirms he bought OUST today.
-
30 Mar 26
In reply to a post about CIFR, IREN, NBIS and WULF all selling off together, says he's not buying the dip on those names yet, but did buy OUST today.
-
30 Mar 26
Bought more OUST today at $16.70.
-
29 Mar 26
Says he doesn't yet know what he'll add to, but is probably looking at HIMS and OUST.
-
25 Mar 26
Compares $AEVA and $OUST lidar tech: AEVA has superior technology but its cost makes scaling and profitability harder, while OUST's cheaper product is good enough for 95% of use cases, giving it better scalability.
-
25 Mar 26
Detailed bull thesis on $OUST: digital silicon architecture drives margin leverage, large patent portfolio and StereoLabs acquisition, strong balance sheet with no debt, diversified near-term revenue verticals, and the SAFE LiDAR Act creating a US market vacuum. Presents bear/base/bull valuation scenarios of $17.81 / $40.11 / $73.78.
-
17 Mar 26
Confirms he is long both IREN and OUST.
-
17 Mar 26
Lists OUST (item 2 of 6) among stocks with high analyst upside: lidar, $1.43B market cap, 81.92% upside, analyst 12-month target range $37-$40.
-
12 Mar 26
Says options are hard to trade from Belgium, has not researched $LTRX yet, and says he likes $OUST a lot and may add to that position.
-
12 Mar 26
Asks followers for input on his $HOOD position (up 122% over a year, ~5% of portfolio), questioning if the company has lost its edge. Attached portfolio screenshot reveals his broader top holdings and allocation weights.
-
12 Mar 26
Lays out four upcoming catalysts for $OUST: the June 2026 NDAA foreign-LiDAR ban, the proposed SAFE LiDAR Act extending restrictions to DOT/critical infrastructure, Q1 2026 earnings as proof of core profitability ex one-off royalty, and the StereoLabs Physical-AI integration/robotics contracts.
-
11 Mar 26
Reports his biggest winners of the day were IREN, OUST, and HIMS, all up more than 10%, implying he holds all three.
-
11 Mar 26
Reveals he bought POET, MRVL, OUST, and SK Hynix.
-
11 Mar 26
Explains the June 2026 NDAA deadline banning Chinese LiDAR makers from DoD contracts as the key catalyst driving business toward Ouster.
-
11 Mar 26
Says Ouster's earnings were great and that SK Hynix would be a great pick for the other investor's daughter's portfolio.
-
11 Mar 26
Notes Ouster's earnings were just announced and that he's up almost 25% in 3 days on the position.
-
11 Mar 26
Announces four new buys this week: OUST as an asymmetric physical-AI/LiDAR bet, SK Hynix for HBM memory dominance, POET for optical interposer technology, and MRVL for the compute-to-connectivity/optical DSP shift.
-
10 Mar 26
Shares analyst ratings for OUST following its earnings, noting the stock is trading around $22.
-
10 Mar 26
Opened a new OUST position at $20 after strong earnings. Bull case: Ouster is transitioning from lidar hardware to a high-margin Physical AI platform (StereoLabs acquisition, Gemini/BlueCity software), has 60% gross margins, positive GAAP net income, ~$211.2M cash, near-zero debt, and stands to gain a legislative monopoly if the U.S. SAFE LiDAR Act bans Chinese competitors Hesai/RoboSense. Exit triggers: Southeast Asia tariff exposure on outsourced manufacturing, and whether earnings quality holds up once a one-time $21.2M IP settlement rolls off.
-
06 Mar 26
Lists companies he plans to research over the weekend: MRVL, OUST, COHR, AEHR, BWXT, NEE, referencing his research method.
-
02 Mar 26
Ouster's Q4 report sent shares up 17% on a surprise $4M profit, though that was heavily boosted by a one-time $21M IP royalty payment; underlying business is genuinely strong with record 8,100 lidar sensors shipped, 36% core product growth, and the Stereolabs acquisition pushing further into Physical AI (warehouse robotics, smart infrastructure).