OKLO
watching
Conviction over time
Sentiment weighted by conviction, oldest to newest — above the line is bullish
Trades
What he actually did, newest first
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29 Mar 26
Might add more when the broader market de-risking shifts; not buying the current dip
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29 Mar 26
Plans to start deploying his record 20% cash position starting next week into positions not yet decided
Reasoning trail
Every post mentioning OKLO, newest first — the thesis as it was built and revised
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12 Apr 26
Compares pre-revenue nuclear plays OKLO and SMR (both hit hard, down 71% and 82% off highs) against established value play BWXT (near all-time highs). Sees no rush to jump into OKLO or SMR given execution risk and distant revenue timelines (OKLO 2026/2028, SMR pushed to 2030), but views nuclear as an eventual great opportunity for patient, believing investors.
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07 Apr 26
Nuclear wave took the biggest valuation hit, P/S falling from a record 11.04 to 8.57 (still above its 6.23 average) as OKLO, SMR, LEU dropped while BWXT and CCO gained; he'd consider adding if the P/S falls further below average.
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07 Apr 26
Index post for his Q4 energy-transition thread, listing the 7 waves he tracks (Wind, Green Hydrogen, Solar, Energy Storage, Nuclear, LNG, Mixed companies) and their constituent companies.
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03 Apr 26
Surveys a rough Q1 2026 across nuclear/grid/solar/hydrogen names; holds FLNC (down 27%, his smallest position at 3% of portfolio) and says management trust in the sector is gone, with no turnaround expected before next earnings, though he still sees the energy grid thesis as critical.
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29 Mar 26
At a record 20% cash position (from not adding cash rather than selling), plans to redeploy starting next week but probably won't buy the IREN dip near-term despite staying bullish long-term. Views IREN as the high risk-high reward datacenter play since it buys and leases Nvidia GPUs (needing more cash than pure power providers), explaining the $6B ATM option as a real, non-noise possibility tied to funding future GPU purchases for new hyperscaler deals, likely activated only after a new deal is announced. Sees the broader market still de-risking, favoring safer names like PL and NBIS over pre-revenue names like OKLO.
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21 Mar 26
Shares a chart of top growth stock performers of 2025 vs YTD 2026, asking followers which names appear in both lists (hinting there are 3). Attached image is a 2025 top-growth-performers list: PL +375%, IREN +307%, OPEN +298%, OKLO +292%, ONDS +260%, ASTS +259%, CIFR +249%, MP +246%, JMIA +238%, HOOD +226%, NBIS +223%, QBTS +219%, MU +216%, RKLB +177%, EOSE +169%.
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20 Mar 26
Posts YTD performance of pre-revenue stocks (OKLO, NNE, ASTS, JOBY, ACHR, QS, LUNR, POET, NUVL), concluding investors are de-risking from speculative names.
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17 Mar 26
Frames OKLO's 1% earnings-day drop as noise, pointing to its $1.2B cash runway, DOE safety agreement approval, NRC license for Atomic Alchemy medical isotopes, and a 1.2GW Meta data center power deal as evidence of long-term progress.
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17 Mar 26
Previews OKLO earnings tonight after a 65% market-cap drawdown since October; flags NRC licensing progress, data-center PPA pipeline growth, HALEU fuel supply security, Idaho site milestones, and cash runway/dilution risk as key watch items.
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13 Mar 26
Lists companies he plans to research over the weekend
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17 Feb 26
Nuclear is at an all-time-high P/S as hyperscalers bypass utilities to sign direct power purchase agreements with nuclear operators. Uranium miners like Cameco and Kazatomprom benefit from rising floor prices, and BWXT is becoming a prime commercial SMR component supplier. Warns that SMR developers like Oklo and NuScale are trading on 2030 promises in a speculative mania — the safer trade is miners and existing fleet operators.
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13 Feb 26
Curated AI-boom sector watchlist across cybersecurity, datacenters, energy grid, nuclear, solar, space, semiconductors, software/AI platforms, and humanoid robotics; marks which companies he personally owns.
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12 Feb 26
Frames 2026 as an industrial 'Power Trade' driven by AI demand: bullish on nuclear (CEG repriced as tech, OKLO/SMR speculative on SMRs) and utility-scale solar (FSLR, ENPH), sees an industrial reset in wind (GEV raising guidance, VWS prioritizing value), and is bearish on hydrogen (PLUG) as the market now demands cash flow over chemistry.