Conviction over time

Sentiment weighted by conviction, oldest to newest — above the line is bullish

Price targets

How each level moved over time. The last value is his current one.

Trades

What he actually did, newest first

• 07 Jul 26

  WOLF reached his buying target so he added a bit more

  add @ 34.3 post →
• 01 Jul 26

  no trades executed this month; allocation shifts are purely from price action

  none post →
• 31 May 26

  Bought some Wolfspeed in the beginning of the month.

  buy post →
• 31 May 26

  Bought some Fluence in the beginning of the month.

  buy post →
• 31 May 26

  Sold his TMDX shares.

  sell post →
• 31 May 26

  Sold ASML shares (+13% in 3 months) to fund a SK Hynix purchase.

  sell post →
• 31 May 26

  Bought SK Hynix using proceeds from selling ASML; wishes he had bought more three months ago (+114% since).

  buy post →
• 01 May 26

  sold this month to raise cash

  sell post →
• 01 May 26

  sold this month to raise cash

  sell post →
• 01 May 26

  sold this month to raise cash

  sell post →

Reasoning trail

Every post mentioning ASM.AS, newest first — the thesis as it was built and revised

• 07 Jul 26

  After being offline during a move, says he's calm in this market; WOLF hit his buying target so he added a bit more at $34.3, and restates his full watchlist of buy/add targets across many tickers.

  bullish low post →
• 01 Jul 26

  Monthly portfolio update: MTD -3.7%, YTD +94.1%, no trades this month, allocation shifts purely from price action across 14 positions including Planet Labs, Ouster, Rocket Lab, Marvell, SK Hynix, ASM International, Palantir, Fluence, Hims, Google, Iren, Wolfspeed, Amprius and Filtronic.

  mixed high post →
• 27 Jun 26

  Publishes his personal add-target levels across his portfolio, based on allocation sizing and how undervalued each stock is, and says he'll try to stay patient.

  neutral medium post →
• 11 Jun 26

  Says ASM International was one of his first-ever buys and is now a 4-bagger; credits sitting through a drop from roughly €700 to €350 without selling, and advocates holding quality companies with conviction for the long run.

  bullish high post →
• 31 May 26

  Monthly portfolio update: MTD +40.4%, YTD +97.8%. Bought WOLF and FLNC early in the month, sold TMDX, and sold ASML to fund a SK Hynix purchase (wishes he'd bought more three months ago). Cash allocation ~11.6% and building slightly via savings, not sales. Reviews all 14 core holdings with performance, allocation and outlook: PL (target $60 by year end, earnings 4/6), RKLB (surged on strong earnings), OUST (long-term hold, no longer buy territory), PLTR (favorite AI software play, #1 holding), SK Hynix (regrets not buying more), AMPX (bullish long-term on batteries/drones), IREN (highest-cost holding, datacenter thesis), MRVL (photonics center, healthy balance sheet), ASM.AS (longest-held, safe-haven, €1,000 target where he may trim), Filtronic (SpaceX GaN amp supplier), WOLF (bullish long-term, BoA target >$80), FLNC (Hyperscaler contracts, next quarters crucial), GOOGL (could become most valuable company), HIMS (small 3.7% allocation, may add).

  bullish high post →
• 15 May 26

  Argues against the narrative that concentration is required to beat the market, citing his own track record of holding 12-17 stocks (avg 15) while beating the S&P 500 every year since 2023, with a portfolio breakdown showing Planet Labs, Rocket Lab, Palantir, Ouster and others as top holdings.

  bullish high post →
• 10 May 26

  Full monthly portfolio update: 15% cash plus 14 named positions with allocation percentages and average cost basis / gain per position, from $PL as largest (16%) down to $HIMS smallest (4.7%, currently at a loss).

  bullish high post →
• 01 May 26

  Publishes management-quality scores for his full current holding list under his rating framework: GOOGL 97, FTC 96, SK Hynix 93, ASM.AS 92, OUST 90, PL 89, MRVL 88, PLTR 87, TMDX 87, HIMS 85, RKLB 79, AMPX 75, FLNC 73, IREN 35 — generally praising execution and capital discipline, with dilution and guidance misses as the main detractors, and IREN scored lowest for promotional narrative pivots and heavy dilution.

  mixed medium post →
• 01 May 26

  Monthly portfolio update: best month ever at +48.49% return. Raised cash by selling POET, HOOD and CROWD; only buy was FTC (Filtronic). Wants to add to FTC (currently 4.5% allocation) but is waiting for a better entry. 45% of holdings report earnings next week, especially TMDX and FLNC, his worst performers now under 3% allocation each — earnings will decide whether he trims or adds. Plans to move toward a more concentrated ~12-stock portfolio and expects more trading this month.

  bullish high post →
• 22 Apr 26

  ASM.AS becomes his fifth 3-bagger after a strong double-beat quarter, hitting the top of sales guidance (€863M) with a record 33.1% operating margin, driven by AI-related chip-equipment demand and a rebound in China; guides to €980M next quarter.

  bullish high post →
• 05 Apr 26

  Monthly portfolio update: up 6.9% in March, led by PL, PLTR, RKLB and AMPX; initiated four new positions (OUST, POET, MRVL, SK Hynix), added to HIMS; TMDX, HOOD, FLNC and IREN declined; plans to cut cash from 20% to 10% and consolidate from 16 to 11 holdings.

  bullish high post →
• 02 Apr 26

  Bullish on space stocks broadly, highlighting PL's strong outperformance today as part of a sector re-rating.

  bullish medium post →
• 29 Mar 26

  Says he's holding up mainly thanks to $PL, $AMPX and $ASM.AS, while the rest of his portfolio is down.

  mixed low post →
• 22 Mar 26

  Says Friday's dip reinforces the value of zooming out; short-term noise on oil/inflation doesn't break the multi-year AI tailwind thesis, urges holding conviction. Attached image shows a portfolio table with tickers PL, PLTR, RKLB, ASM, GOOGL, HOOD, CRWD, AMPX and their % change and % of portfolio, all showing large gains (e.g. PL +733.3% at 18.4% of portfolio, PLTR +391.0% at 11.3%).

  bullish high post →
• 13 Mar 26

  Explains he sold ASML rather than ASM International as a portfolio decision, praises ASML as a great company but says the sale was his own call and he's moving forward.

  mixed medium post →
• 12 Mar 26

  Asks followers for input on his $HOOD position (up 122% over a year, ~5% of portfolio), questioning if the company has lost its edge. Attached portfolio screenshot reveals his broader top holdings and allocation weights.

  mixed medium post →
• 09 Mar 26

  Author sold his ASML shares today, bought at €676 six months ago, closed at €1,085 for a 60.5% gain. Still likes the business (EUV monopoly) but felt he captured the best of the trade; also holds ASM.AS in the same semiconductor equipment wave so doesn't need both, and wants to reallocate to a different investment wave. No company-specific reason to sell.

  neutral medium post →
• 04 Mar 26

  Shares a full article breaking down the AI chip supply chain into 4 phases and 13 layers, listing companies at each stage from raw materials to hyperscalers.

  neutral low post →
• 04 Mar 26

  Says $ASM.AS, one of his biggest holdings, jumped 6% on a double beat driven by AI-fueled demand for advanced chipmaking equipment, record 52% profit margins, rebounding Chinese orders projected to grow into 2026, plus a fresh €150M buyback and higher dividend.

  bullish high post →
• 02 Mar 26

  Notes he holds AMPX and ASM.AS ahead of earnings that week.

  neutral low post →
• 02 Mar 26

  Confirms ASM.AS isn't on the list either and asks when they report earnings.

  neutral low post →
• 01 Mar 26

  Lists the earnings he'll be watching next week across defense, drone, quantum, crypto and other names, asking followers which companies he's missing. Attached image confirms an earnings calendar for the week of March 02, 2026 including Berkshire, Credo, Riot, BigBear.ai, MongoDB, Plug, QCi, ASTS, Achr, Target, Best Buy, Sea, CrowdStrike, GitLab, Abercrombie, Dycom, Broadcom, Rigetti, Wix, Veeva, Okta, Ooma, Bull, Ciena, Amprius, Marvell, JD.com, IoT names, Costco, and others.

  neutral low post →
• 27 Feb 26

  February portfolio recap: -15.6% for the month but only -0.9% YTD after January's run-up. Attributes the drawdown to a valuation reset in high-conviction AI/software names, volatility in high-beta growth holdings, and resilience from semiconductor/foundational holdings. Made zero trades in February, reaffirms conviction in his 16-company portfolio, framing inactivity as a deliberate choice not to interrupt long-term compounding.

  bullish high post →
• 13 Feb 26

  Curated AI-boom sector watchlist across cybersecurity, datacenters, energy grid, nuclear, solar, space, semiconductors, software/AI platforms, and humanoid robotics; marks which companies he personally owns.

  bullish medium post →
• 02 Feb 26

  January portfolio update: up 11.56% for the month with no trades made. For the first time in two years PLTR is not his largest holding; PL is now the top position. Full 16-name portfolio with allocation weights disclosed.

  bullish high post →